Next Generation Fire Model

Acronym:  NGFM

NGFM is an engineering-level tool that predicts the probability of ballistically induced fires in aircraft dry bays.  The first version, released in 2023, uses empirically derived models to assess limited cases of steel fragments against aluminum targets.  Successive releases will leverage ongoing research and development efforts, as well as LFT&E programs to expand the tool’s utility for broader threat and target conditions applicable to modern combat engagements.  NGFM underpins higher-level codes and addresses the Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E) imperative for high-accuracy vulnerability assessments.

Tool Type:
JASP-Supported Tool
JASP Responsible Subgroup:
Vulnerability Assessment and Reduction (VAR)
Model Level:
Engineering
Model Focus:
Predicting Threat-Initiated Fire Ignitions
Threat Type Modeled:
Kinetic/Ballistic
Model Manager:
Adam Goss
adam.goss@us.af.mil
Developing Organization:
704th TG/OL-AC
Distribution:
Defense Systems Information Analysis Center
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